DIV I-AA 12/10/06 Season to Date Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 System Median 422 166 0.71769 11.9018 1.73538 223.802 2 System Average 417 171 0.70918 11.8725 1.74383 222.189 3 Born Power Index 416 172 0.70748 12.0891 1.35306 231.778 4 The Sports Report 406 168 0.70732 12.9161 0.53730 261.473 5 Sagarin Predictive 413 175 0.70238 12.2046 2.14252 236.011 6 Sagarin 412 176 0.70068 12.3443 2.25029 243.529 7 Bassett Model 393 173 0.69435 12.5106 2.24527 244.952 8 PerformanZ Ratings 406 180 0.69283 13.8012 2.27392 292.099 9 Warren Claasen 405 181 0.69113 12.9280 1.41860 262.451 10 Matthews Grid 402 185 0.68484 13.1994 1.31184 280.684 11 Keeper 395 187 0.67869 13.3702 1.65387 277.503 12 Sagarin Elo 398 190 0.67687 13.3947 2.42094 282.782 13 Dunkel Index 188 100 0.65278 12.2502 2.06149 237.606 Last Week Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 PerformanZ Ratings 2 0 1.0 12.415 -11.365 218.714 2 Bassett Model 2 0 1.0 12.990 -12.990 120.610 3 Matthews Grid 1 1 0.5 12.030 -9.170 186.765 4 Warren Claasen 1 1 0.5 12.260 -8.910 190.002 5 System Median 1 1 0.5 12.555 -8.845 196.745 6 System Average 1 1 0.5 12.740 -9.030 203.078 7 Sagarin Predictive 1 1 0.5 12.830 -8.500 200.734 8 Keeper 1 1 0.5 13.275 -2.015 178.256 9 Dunkel Index 1 1 0.5 13.475 -10.485 236.543 10 Born Power Index 1 1 0.5 13.600 -7.800 215.380 11 Sagarin 1 1 0.5 14.680 -9.220 258.007 12 Sagarin Elo 0 2 0.0 16.845 -9.855 332.315 Second Half Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 Matthews Grid 204 79 0.72085 12.3045 1.53951 242.679 2 System Median 203 80 0.71731 11.8655 1.87698 222.351 3 Warren Claasen 203 80 0.71731 12.2443 1.67081 242.912 4 System Average 201 82 0.71025 11.8437 1.86378 221.966 5 Sagarin 200 83 0.70671 12.2679 2.19912 238.666 6 The Sports Report 193 81 0.70438 11.9738 0.71416 227.460 7 Born Power Index 197 86 0.69611 11.9558 1.60530 224.187 8 PerformanZ Ratings 197 86 0.69611 13.9336 2.37314 295.185 9 Sagarin Elo 195 88 0.68905 13.5424 2.28092 286.873 10 Sagarin Predictive 194 89 0.68551 12.0905 2.17629 226.799 11 Bassett Model 183 87 0.67778 12.3829 2.56048 242.180 12 Keeper 186 92 0.66906 12.8989 1.81709 268.762 13 Dunkel Index 76 43 0.63866 11.7583 1.85597 202.462 Retrodiction Mean Mean Square System pct G W L Error bias Error 1 Sagarin 0.82646 582 481 101 9.6407 1.60734 159.868 2 Sagarin Elo 0.82474 582 480 102 10.5946 1.65448 186.259 3 System Median 0.81959 582 477 105 9.7516 1.49591 159.797 4 System Average 0.81615 582 475 107 9.7516 1.46310 157.374 5 Matthews Grid 0.81271 582 473 109 10.2465 1.01555 175.787 6 Warren Claassen 0.80584 582 469 113 10.7268 2.10648 190.460 7 Dunkel Index 0.79038 582 460 122 10.3027 1.60599 174.476 8 Born Power Index 0.78522 582 457 125 9.8227 1.69107 156.679 9 Sagarin Predictive 0.78179 582 455 127 9.2303 1.57014 149.347 10 PerformanZ Ratings 0.78179 582 455 127 10.6025 0.00254 182.921