DIV I-AA 12/04/05 Season to Date Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 System Average 413 158 0.72329 13.1402 0.26490 267.707 2 System Median 411 160 0.71979 13.1790 0.34826 268.789 3 Matthews Grid 409 162 0.71629 13.9940 -0.42602 303.709 4 Sagarin 405 166 0.70928 13.8532 0.79287 297.078 5 Sagarin Elo 404 167 0.70753 14.8289 0.69173 347.595 6 Born Power Index 403 168 0.70578 13.3101 -0.40583 268.805 7 CPA Rankings 402 169 0.70403 13.7500 0.69664 295.398 8 Bassett Model 402 164 0.71025 13.9608 -0.04535 298.668 9 Sagarin Predictive 401 170 0.70228 13.7175 0.71391 291.051 10 CPA Retro 400 171 0.70053 14.4311 0.55475 314.002 11 Warren Claasen 389 154 0.71639 14.3492 -0.88821 326.068 12 Keeper 376 130 0.74308 12.9162 0.24601 267.906 13 PerformanZ Ratings 202 67 0.75093 13.1774 1.83576 270.904 14 Dunkel Index 126 40 0.75904 12.1488 0.67048 251.773 15 The Sports Report 125 41 0.75301 12.2356 0.35910 245.770 Last Week Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 Bassett Model 3 0 1.00000 13.2067 -12.0533 339.356 2 CPA Retro 2 1 0.66667 11.2400 -6.6333 163.552 3 CPA Rankings 2 1 0.66667 11.2433 -6.2900 187.830 4 Sagarin Elo 2 1 0.66667 11.5300 -6.3633 233.438 5 Dunkel Index 2 1 0.66667 11.7000 -6.5000 250.093 6 Sagarin 2 1 0.66667 11.7467 -5.6467 238.790 7 The Sports Report 2 1 0.66667 12.0133 -0.6467 172.438 8 System Median 2 1 0.66667 12.1267 -5.2200 241.270 9 System Average 2 1 0.66667 12.3333 -4.5867 239.531 10 Sagarin Predictive 2 1 0.66667 12.3967 -4.9100 243.484 11 Matthews Grid 2 1 0.66667 12.9133 -4.8667 264.826 12 Born Power Index 2 1 0.66667 12.9667 -3.5000 243.553 13 Warren Claasen 2 1 0.66667 13.4700 -5.8433 292.905 14 Keeper 2 1 0.66667 18.3000 -2.3133 451.753 15 PerformanZ Ratings 2 1 0.66667 19.2967 3.1033 381.699 Second Half Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 PerformanZ Ratings 202 67 0.75093 13.1774 1.83576 270.904 2 Keeper 201 68 0.74721 12.5153 0.99301 252.253 3 System Average 199 70 0.73978 12.2307 0.81610 238.009 4 System Median 198 71 0.73606 12.3197 0.84448 241.755 5 Matthews Grid 198 71 0.73606 12.6709 0.58364 255.939 6 Sagarin Elo 198 71 0.73606 13.1551 0.74268 278.647 7 Warren Claasen 196 73 0.72862 12.9033 0.73963 259.008 8 Sagarin 195 74 0.72491 12.7201 0.84442 255.784 9 Bassett Model 194 74 0.72388 13.4057 1.16526 271.496 10 Sagarin Predictive 193 76 0.71747 12.6838 0.90030 251.976 11 Born Power Index 191 78 0.71004 12.6604 0.74599 254.441 12 CPA Rankings 190 79 0.70632 13.5411 -0.16963 284.622 13 CPA Retro 189 80 0.70260 13.7738 0.21561 289.403 14 Dunkel Index 126 40 0.75904 12.1488 0.67048 251.773 15 The Sports Report 125 41 0.75301 12.2356 0.35910 245.770 Retrodiction Mean Mean Square System pct G W L Error bias Error 1 CPA Retro 0.85299 585 499 86 10.4392 -0.02649 179.718 2 CPA Rankings 0.84957 585 497 88 10.4203 -0.07433 175.574 3 Sagarin Elo 0.84957 585 497 88 11.6144 -0.05325 225.714 4 System Median 0.84444 585 494 91 10.3654 0.23303 172.213 5 System Average 0.84274 585 493 92 10.3199 0.16456 169.747 6 Sagarin 0.84274 585 493 92 10.7601 -0.04624 190.520 7 Matthews Grid 0.83932 585 491 94 10.9241 0.00872 194.375 8 Warren Claassen 0.82051 585 480 105 11.6619 0.33863 220.736 9 Dunkel Index 0.81709 585 478 107 10.5015 0.17641 174.799 10 PerformanZ Ratings 0.81709 585 478 107 11.3721 0.05347 202.013 11 Sagarin Predictive 0.81538 585 477 108 10.2178 -0.01236 172.746 12 Born Power Index 0.80171 585 469 116 10.4301 0.30462 169.140 13 The Sports Report 0.79316 585 464 121 10.2259 -0.14624 161.387