DIV I-AA 12-12-04 Season to Date Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 Sagarin Predictive 436 148 0.74658 12.4314 0.35233 257.388 2 Massey Ratings 432 152 0.73973 12.4525 -0.11300 255.537 3 System Average 427 157 0.73116 12.4118 -0.21255 255.188 4 CPA Rankings 427 157 0.73116 12.8951 -0.34933 269.138 5 Sagarin 425 159 0.72774 12.6852 0.29928 267.437 6 Born Power Index 425 159 0.72774 12.8086 -0.81199 270.865 7 System Median 422 159 0.72633 12.4851 -0.19019 259.290 8 CPA Retro 417 167 0.71404 13.2048 -0.33231 290.173 9 Bassett Model 412 164 0.71528 13.8107 -0.13443 320.286 10 Sagarin Elo 402 182 0.68836 13.8599 0.26678 314.770 11 Matthews Grid 386 153 0.71614 13.0488 -0.79592 280.798 12 Harmon Forcast 359 147 0.70949 13.4071 0.55336 294.130 13 Warren Claasen 316 202 0.61004 16.4324 4.61653 477.529 14 PerformanZ Ratings 268 100 0.72826 13.7672 -0.99685 314.414 Last Week Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 CPA Rankings 2 1 0.66667 10.5133 1.60667 145.923 2 Massey Ratings 2 1 0.66667 10.7500 1.32333 154.664 3 PerformanZ Ratings 2 1 0.66667 10.8333 1.42667 128.771 4 Matthews Grid 2 1 0.66667 11.2733 0.95333 186.908 5 CPA Retro 2 1 0.66667 11.4900 3.20333 159.778 6 Born Power Index 2 1 0.66667 11.5000 6.36667 181.165 7 System Average 2 1 0.66667 11.6067 2.68667 168.154 8 Sagarin Predictive 2 1 0.66667 11.6533 2.67333 172.919 9 Sagarin 2 1 0.66667 12.6300 3.03000 195.074 10 Sagarin Elo 1 2 0.33333 13.8033 3.57667 226.209 Second Half Mean Mean Square System W L Pct. Error Bias Error 1 Sagarin Predictive 208 63 0.76753 12.0059 -1.24137 236.121 2 Massey Ratings 206 65 0.76015 12.1738 -1.37159 240.513 3 Sagarin 199 72 0.73432 12.1767 -1.23720 244.733 4 Born Power Index 199 72 0.73432 12.1919 -1.97417 240.314 5 System Average 198 73 0.73063 12.0919 -1.24620 236.553 6 CPA Rankings 198 73 0.73063 12.7019 -0.45413 255.175 7 System Median 194 74 0.72388 12.1672 -1.26332 241.666 8 Bassett Model 193 72 0.72830 12.8660 -0.64781 266.111 9 Matthews Grid 191 80 0.70480 12.7135 -2.01413 257.404 10 CPA Retro 191 80 0.70480 13.1023 -0.34299 280.530 11 Sagarin Elo 190 81 0.70111 13.4795 -1.30753 291.834 12 PerformanZ Ratings 189 76 0.71321 14.0503 -1.70106 328.221 13 Warren Claasen 177 91 0.66045 14.8044 1.72948 387.497 14 Harmon Forcast 171 60 0.74026 12.2165 -0.25108 243.160 Retrodiction 12-09-04 Mean Mean Square System pct G W L Error bias Error 1 Sagarin Elo 0.86473 584 505 79 10.8839 -0.19943 205.838 2 CPA Retro 0.85959 584 502 82 10.0891 0.06676 170.683 3 Matthews Grid 0.85103 584 497 87 10.1716 -0.49623 175.735 4 System Average 0.84932 584 496 88 9.8085 -0.14646 163.065 5 Sagarin 0.84589 584 494 90 9.9377 -0.14113 174.364 6 System Median 0.84418 584 493 91 9.8847 -0.16066 167.068 7 CPA Rankings 0.84418 584 493 91 9.8944 0.07224 162.711 8 Massey Ratings 0.82716 567 469 98 9.8521 -0.52142 168.154 9 Sagarin Predictive 0.82192 584 480 104 9.4521 -0.06104 161.174 10 Warren Claassen 0.82192 584 480 104 10.8929 -0.18250 199.456 11 PerformanZ Ratings 0.80488 574 462 112 10.8620 -0.27465 190.277 12 Born Power Index 0.79966 584 467 117 10.0080 -0.17688 169.359