DIV I-AA     12-21-2003


   Last 4 weeks

                                                                                         Mean
                                                                  Mean                  Square
                    System               W      L       Pct.      Error       Bias       Error


           1    Matthews Grid            44     13    0.77193    14.7960    -0.25140    354.562
           2    System Average           43     14    0.75439    14.8623     0.00193    353.537
           3    CPA Rankings             43     14    0.75439    15.2216     0.41596    361.475
           4    Sagarin Predictive       42     15    0.73684    15.0675     0.28123    364.125
           5    Sagarin                  42     15    0.73684    15.0725     0.09070    361.405
           6    PerformanZ Ratings       41     15    0.73214    14.5014    -0.48179    355.368
           7    CPA Retro                41     16    0.71930    15.0251     0.71842    356.350
           8    Rothman                  41     16    0.71930    15.8828    -0.82456    384.846
           9    Sagarin Elo              41     16    0.71930    15.9318    -0.10053    388.941
          10    Born Power Index         39     18    0.68421    15.6193     0.07544    378.261
          11    Massey Ratings           38     19    0.66667    15.7423     0.03632    379.955




Retrodiction  (for the last 5 weeks)

                                                                        Mean
                                                    Mean               Square
       System              pct     G      W     L   Error     bias      Error

  1  CPA Retro           0.92683  164    152   12  10.5737   1.62970  189.320
  2  CPA Rankings        0.92073  164    151   13  10.2301   1.12451  174.280
  3  Matthews Grid       0.89024  164    146   18  11.0892   0.17170  203.358
  4  Sagarin Elo         0.88415  164    145   19  12.2786   0.72762  245.635
  5  System Average      0.87195  164    143   21  10.5881   0.49557  183.518
  6  Rothman             0.87195  164    143   21  11.6223   0.65988  226.862
  7  Sagarin             0.86585  164    142   22  11.1880   0.38689  207.853
  8  Born Power Index    0.84756  164    139   25   9.8591  -0.02134  151.888
  9  Massey Ratings      0.84146  164    138   26  11.0952  -0.10918  209.621
 10  Sagarin Predictive  0.83537  164    137   27  10.6977   0.02463  191.839
 11  PerformanZ Ratings  0.81481  162    132   30  11.0315  -0.20321  207.148